Rate Structure

The April 2 proclamation[1] replaces prior apportionment-based calculation with duties assessed on the entire customs value of covered imports, regardless of actual metal content.[2][3]

Category Coverage Rate
Metal articles HTSUS Ch. 72, 73, 74, 76 — articles made entirely or almost entirely of steel, aluminum, copper 50%
Derivative articles Products with >15% steel/aluminum/copper by weight 25%
Below threshold Products with ≤15% metal by weight Exempt
UK-origin Products made entirely with UK aluminum or steel 25% / 15%
Russian-origin aluminum Aluminum smelted or cast in Russia 200%
US-origin abroad US metal products manufactured outside US 10%

Products listed on multiple annex lists pay only the listed rate, not combined.[3] Certain items (packaged products, select consumer goods) removed from coverage per Annex II.[4]

Exposure Assessment

The full customs value basis disproportionately hits sectors with high derivative content — finished goods where metals are a component, not the product itself. The 25% auto tariff (HTS 9903.94.32) already applies to foreign cars and parts, but steel/aluminum content in those products now faces additional Section 232 duties on the full value.[5]

In August 2025, the US expanded coverage to 407 derivative categories at 50%, prompting EU countermeasures.[6] The April 2026 changes consolidate and simplify this into the weight-based threshold system.

VERT. Assessment

Sector-level cost estimates (automotive €2–3B+, machinery €1B+) are widely cited but lack verified sourcing. No official EU impact assessment has been published for the April 2026 changes. Eurostat Q1 2026 trade data, expected in May, will provide the first hard numbers. We'll update when available.

The 15% Threshold

The weight-based threshold creates a binary classification:[1][3]

Reclassification Opportunity

Product redesign to push metal content below 15% by weight eliminates Section 232 exposure entirely. Composite alternatives, high-strength low-alloy steel (lower volume for equivalent performance), and material substitution are the primary engineering paths. Model redesign cost vs. ongoing 25% duty on full value per SKU.

USMCA Rerouting

USMCA-compliant steel and aluminum qualifies for Section 232 exemption through the melt-and-pour rule (steel) or smelt-and-cast rule (aluminum). Metal must be melted/poured or smelted/cast in the US, Canada, or Mexico to qualify.[7][8]

Firms that established USMCA-compliant production in 2025 have a structural cost advantage that widens with every rate increase.

UK Rate Arbitrage

UK-origin products made entirely with UK aluminum or steel qualify for reduced rates: 25% or 15% depending on classification — half the standard rate.[1][3] Certain aerospace products from the UK, EU, and Japan receive full exemptions. New Annex IV aluminum weight exemption effective April 6 adds further carve-outs.

For EU manufacturers with UK operations or UK supply chain options, this is a viable rate arbitrage on qualifying products. VERT. Assessment

Filing Requirements

Timeline

April 2, 2026
Presidential Proclamation — full customs value basis, new rate structure, prior derivative processes terminated[1]
April 6, 2026
Effective date — all entries from 12:01 AM EDT assessed under new structure. Special rules for FTZ and drawback[3]
Q2 2026
Inventory drawdown — pre-April 6 imports clearing at legacy rates
May 2026
Eurostat Q1 2026 trade data — first hard numbers on EU export volume impact Watch
Through 2027
Annex III transitional rates available for select low-MFN products[3]

Position

Commerce and USTR now hold authority to include additional derivative articles when imports threaten national security.[1] Scope is more likely to widen than narrow. Three priorities:

  1. Classify every US-bound product line against the 15% weight threshold. This is now a P&L variable — track it live, not annually.
  2. Model USMCA rerouting for top exposed SKUs. Canadian melt-and-pour for metal-intensive inputs, Mexican assembly for derivative products. Compare restructuring cost vs. ongoing 25–50% duty exposure.
  3. File exclusion requests now for critical products with no substitution path. Annex II and III provide carve-outs, but availability is narrowing with each proclamation update.